Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.280014 0.321261 0.365525 0.416447 0.473295 0.534685 0.605874
2025-12-14 0.214491 0.270442 0.335264 0.415428 0.511380 0.621998 0.758590
2025-12-21 0.163745 0.226187 0.304000 0.406923 0.538166 0.698509 0.907624
2025-12-28 0.135329 0.203461 0.294226 0.421728 0.593581 0.814266 1.115660
2026-01-04 0.113047 0.184264 0.285290 0.435301 0.647887 0.933239 1.339004
2026-01-11 0.092653 0.163530 0.270401 0.437704 0.686190 1.033620 1.546122
2026-01-18 0.076202 0.145332 0.255863 0.437747 0.719908 1.129419 1.753850
2026-01-25 0.062792 0.129212 0.241613 0.435558 0.748946 1.219723 1.959626
2026-02-01 0.052203 0.115688 0.229158 0.433942 0.777669 1.310674 2.171817
2026-02-08 0.043558 0.103844 0.217479 0.431570 0.804051 1.399007 2.385068
2026-02-15 0.036178 0.092805 0.205312 0.426348 0.824420 1.478421 2.588718
2026-02-22 0.031607 0.086629 0.201205 0.434760 0.868187 1.597747 2.862001
2026-03-01 0.026322 0.077721 0.190479 0.429791 0.888545 1.681044 3.084649
2026-03-08 0.022549 0.071465 0.184161 0.432441 0.922716 1.789823 3.355976
2026-03-15 0.018722 0.064039 0.174017 0.425973 0.939027 1.868579 3.581396
2026-03-22 0.016982 0.061784 0.175123 0.442906 1.001406 2.032357 3.961397
2026-03-29 0.015339 0.059367 0.175431 0.458070 1.061433 2.195435 4.348780
2026-04-05 0.013294 0.055145 0.170611 0.461231 1.097461 2.316596 4.668325
2026-04-12 0.011428 0.050902 0.164958 0.461691 1.127749 2.428591 4.976917
2026-04-19 0.009742 0.046701 0.158628 0.459665 1.152402 2.531057 5.273016
2026-04-26 0.008326 0.042964 0.152849 0.458142 1.177776 2.636073 5.578665
2026-05-03 0.007095 0.039464 0.147055 0.455765 1.200867 2.737651 5.882472
2026-05-10 0.005971 0.035932 0.140445 0.450362 1.216510 2.824991 6.163105